Book your water trucks early El Nino is on the way!
Judging by the latest 12 month forecast update from Elders Weather, we are in for another dry and dusty Spring/Summer period.
Here’s a snapshot of what they had to say in their 2014 May monthly forward update;’El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are both in neutral phases.
A warming trend has continued across the tropical Pacific Ocean and the majority of climate models indicate the development of El Nino during the southern hemisphere spring/winter. There are indications that the IOD will trend towards a positive phase by early spring. Positive IOD events often coincide with El Nino. Long range models indicate that warming will continue over the tropical Pacific Ocean as we move into the austral winter, while waters surrounding Australia will remain anomalously warm. El Nino and the IOD then have a strong impact on rainfall distribution moving into spring, with drier conditions likely to ensue. By spring, the El Nino should exert more influence with rainfall totals expected to trend below median during the second half of 2015.’